By Tradeline Capital | October 7, 2025
www.tradelinecapital.in
🔑 Fundamentals for the Day (IST)
🟡 U.S. Government Shutdown Continues
-
Shutdown is costing the U.S. economy about $15 billion per week (as per Kevin Hassett).
-
All major U.S. economic data releases (Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, etc.) are cancelled or delayed due to the shutdown.
-
This blackout creates economic uncertainty and hurts market confidence, leading to continued safe-haven demand for Gold.
📉 Effect on Markets:
-
As long as the U.S. Government remains shut, Gold will stay on the upside ⬆️
-
Silver will follow the same bullish sentiment as investors shift to hard assets.
🏦 2nd Fundamental – Fed Outlook
-
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 0.25% in October 🏦
-
Lower rates = Weaker Dollar + Stronger Gold & Silver ✨
🪙 Gold (December Contract)
Range: 121500 – 119500
💼 Our Preference:
🔻 Sell Gold @ 120500
🎯 Target: 118200
🛡️ Stop Loss: Exit only if it sustains above 121500+
🔁 Back-up Sell: 121000
💡 Alternative Scenario 1:
🟢 Buy Gold @ 118220 for target 120450 with SL 117900 (below only if sustain)
💡 Alternative Scenario 2:
🟢 Buy Gold @ 117148 for target 120450 with SL 116900
📈 View:
-
Short-term selling pressure possible near 120500–121000 zone
-
Overall trend to remain bullish till shutdown continues
🪙 Silver (December Contract)
Range: 149500 – 145000
💼 Our Preference:
🟢 Buy Silver @ 145000 for target 148000
🛡️ Stop Loss: 144400
💡 Alternative Scenario:
🔻 Sell Silver @ 148500 (Back-up 149000)
🎯 Target: 146000
🛡️ Stop Loss: 149600
📈 View:
-
Silver expected to remain firm as long as Gold maintains momentum
-
Quick intraday dips will be good buying opportunities
🧭 Market Summary
🟡 U.S. Government Shutdown = No economic data + Political deadlock → Gold upside continues
💵 Fed expected to cut 0.25% rate in October → Bullish bias for Gold & Silver
💬 Traders advised to stay on Buy-on-Dip strategy till any resolution appears
📞 By Tradeline Capital
💬 www.tradelinecapital.in
📱 WhatsApp & Telegram Updates Available
