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By Tradeline Capital | September 18, 2025


๐Ÿ”‘ Fundamentals for the Day (IST)

  • โฐ 6:00 pm โ€“ US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

  • โฐ 7:30 pm โ€“ EU: German Buba President Nagel Speaks, US CB Leading Index m/m

  • โฐ 8:00 pm โ€“ US Natural Gas Storage


๐Ÿ“ฐ Latest News & Commentary

  • Fed Interest Rate Cut (0.25%)

    • The Fed announced a 0.25% rate cut yesterday at 11:30 pm IST.

    • Theoretically, rate cuts support Gold upside.

    • But Gold had already rallied $380 from Aug 20 โ€“ Sept 17 in anticipation of the move.

    • Post-announcement, Gold spiked to $3,707, then dropped to $3,648 during Powellโ€™s speech, showing profit-taking.

  • Powellโ€™s Speech Impact

    • Powell struck a cautious tone, signaling further monitoring of inflation.

    • Market interpreted this as less aggressive easing ahead, which capped Goldโ€™s rally short-term.

  • Current Market Sentiment

    • Spot Gold today touched a low of $3,634 and is trading near $3,668.

    • Any dips are seen as buying opportunities rather than fresh selling.

    • Silver found a strong bottom near โ‚น124,500 and looks set to recover.


๐ŸŸก Gold Market Outlook

  • Range: โ‚น108,800 โ€“ โ‚น113,000

  • Our Preference:
    โœ… Buy Gold @ โ‚น108,800 for targets โ‚น110,000.
    โŒ Stop Loss below โ‚น108,600.

  • Trading Zone:

    • ๐Ÿ”ป Breakout Sell below โ‚น108,580 โ†’ โ‚น107,021.

    • ๐Ÿ”บ Sell scalp near โ‚น110,073 with SL โ‚น110,200.

  • Key Levels:

    • Strong Support: โ‚น108,700

    • Deep Buy Zone (if tested): โ‚น107,000

  • Commentary:
    Goldโ€™s downside looks very limited. As long as $3,635 (โ‚น108,700) holds, the next upside leg towards $3,800 (โ‚น113,000) remains intact.


โšช Silver Market Outlook

  • Range: โ‚น125,500 โ€“ โ‚น130,500

  • Our Preference:
    โœ… Buy Silver @ โ‚น125,500 for targets โ‚น128,500 & โ‚น130,500.
    ๐Ÿ”„ Backup Buy @ โ‚น124,500, SL only below โ‚น124,000.

  • For Positional Traders:
    ๐Ÿ›’ Buy & Hold from โ‚น125,500โ€“124,500 zone โ†’ Target โ‚น130,500.

  • Commentary:
    Silver has established a bottom at โ‚น124,500. Any dip near support is an accumulation opportunity for positional upside.


๐Ÿ“Œ Summary

  • Gold: Fedโ€™s rate cut is already priced in, limited downside remains. Buying dips is the strategy as the long-term bull trend continues.

  • Silver: Strong base around โ‚น124,500, turning bullish again. Positional buys recommended.


โœ๏ธ By Tradeline Capital
๐ŸŒ www.tradelinecapital.in

 

๐Ÿšจ DISCLAIMER: ๐Ÿ“š Educational | ๐Ÿ’ฐ Not Advice | โšก Trade at Own Risk

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