📅 Date: Thursday / Market Update
✍️ By Tradeline Capital
📌 Fundamentals for the Day
⏰ 7:00 PM
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📉 Average Hourly Earnings (m/m)
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👥 Non-Farm Employment Change
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📊 Unemployment Rate
⏰ 7:20 PM – 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Hammack Speaks
⏰ 8:30 PM – 🇪🇺 EU CB Leading Index (m/m)
⏰ 9:00 PM – ⚡ Natural Gas Storage
⏰ 9:30 PM – 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Cook Speaks
⏰ 11:10 PM – 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
📰 Market Updates & Key Highlights
📍 FOMC Meeting Minutes (Last Night)
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Market expectations for a December rate cut have weakened → Committee remains divided
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No clear consensus for further easing → Fed is cautious, inflation still sticky
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Effect: 📉 Sell on every rise remains the dominant strategy for Gold & Silver
📍 Trump Statement
“He wants to fire Powell at any cost.”
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If Powell is removed / pressured, policy uncertainty increases → Bullion becomes upside only due to safe-haven + monetary instability.
🏦 Impact Summary (Bullet Form)
Factor |
Effect on Bullion |
|---|---|
Fed uncertainty |
⚠️ High volatility, sell on spikes |
No guaranteed Dec cut |
📈 USD strength → bearish Gold/Silver |
Trump vs Powell tension |
🟢 Medium-term upside risk |
Tonight’s NFP data |
🚀 High volatility event |
🏆 Gold Outlook
📍 Broad Range: 124380 – 115450
📍 Day Range: 123800 – 120800
🔻 Our Preference
🔴 Sell Gold @ 123780
🎯 Target: 121000
⛔ Stoploss: 123780 + 240 pts
🔁 Sell for Intraday
📌 Sell begins @ 123300
⛔ SL: 123480
📍 For trading purpose only
🔼 Alternative Scenario
🟢 Buy Gold @ 120800 (only if sustain)
🎯 Target: 122200
⛔ SL: 120580
⚪ Silver Outlook
📍 Range: 152500 – 158500
🔻 Our Preference
🔴 Sell Silver @ 158500
🎯 Target: 154000
⛔ SL: 159200+ only if sustain
🔼 Alternative Scenario
🟢 Buy Silver @ 153500
🔄 Backup Buy: 152500
🎯 Target: 156700
⛔ SL: 152000 below only if sustain
⚠️ Breakout Trade
🔻 Sell Silver @ 151800 (Breakout)
⚠️ Tradeline Capital View
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Market remains sell-on-rise until Fed tone turns dovish.
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Trump’s anti-Powell stance may trigger sudden policy-driven upside spikes.
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Tonight’s NFP cluster is major trigger → Expect whipsaw moves.
📣 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves market risk. Follow proper money management.
Tradeline Capital ©
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