π Fundamentals for the Day
π 07:00 PM (IST)
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Core CPI m/m
PPI m/m
π 08:15 PM (IST)
Β Β Β Chicago PMI
These inflation numbers will decide USD strength vs Bullion direction.
Higher inflation = temporary pressure on Gold & Silver
Lower inflation = strong upside continuation
π Global Political & Economic Commentary (Trump Effect on Bullion)
π₯ Trump Tariff Shock on Canada (Aircraft Sector)
Trump announced:
50% tariff on all aircraft sold by Canada into the US
Decertification of Bombardier aircraft until Gulfstream jets are approved
This increases:
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Trade war tension
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Industrial uncertainty
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Supply chain disruption
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Inflationary pressure
Bullion Impact:
Trade wars = Risk sentiment = Gold & Silver bullish
π₯ Trump on Government Shutdown Risk
βOnly thing that can slow our country down is another long and damaging government shutdown.β
β οΈ Political instability inside the US increases:
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Fear in equity markets
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Weak confidence in USD
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Capital flow into safe haven assets
Bullion Impact:
Government shutdown fear = Safe Haven Buying for Gold & Silver
π₯ Trump signs order to impose tariffs on countries selling oil to Cuba
This adds:
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Energy market tension
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Geopolitical instability
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US vs allies friction
Bullion Impact:
Geopolitical tension = Strong bullish sentiment for Gold & Silver
π₯ Warsh Fed Chair Nomination (Bloomberg)
Market expectation:
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Possible shift in Fed policy tone
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Uncertainty on interest rates
Bullion Impact:
Fed uncertainty = volatility = Bullion preferred asset
π‘ Market Psychology Right Now
β Trade wars (Canada, Cuba, Iran earlier)
β Inflation data risk
β Fed leadership uncertainty
β Government shutdown fear
All together creating:
π₯ Uncertainty + Fear + Volatility = Money flows into Gold & Silver
π₯ Gold (April Contract)
Gold Premium has been added which is clear all dips are just for a Buy purpose only.
π Range: 174500 β 187000
β Our Preference
Buy Gold @ 174500-175000
π― Target: 184000
π SL: 173700 below only if sustain
π Alternative Scenario
Sell Gold @ 174000
π― Target: 167500
π SL: 175000+ only if sustain
(Activate only if SL is crossed and price comes back)
βοΈ Trading Zone (Intraday)
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188000 Sell @ 1st stroke (Trading only)
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184800 Sell @ 1st stroke (Trading only)
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189000+ Breakout Buy
Maintain SL of 500 points in above trades.
π‘ Weekly Strong Support Zone
167100 = Very strong Buy & Hold zone
π― Target: 178000
π SL: 166500 below only if sustain
π₯ Silver
Silver Premium has been added which is clear all dips are just for a Buy purpose only.
π Range: 360000 β 405000
β Our Preference
Buy Silver @ 360000 to 355000
π― Target: 387000
π SL: 354000 ( Below only If sustain)
π Alternative Scenario
Sell Silver @ 353000 back up sell 358000Β
π― Target: 325000
π SL: 360500+ only if sustain
βοΈ Trading Zone
- 389000 Sell @ 1st stroke
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406000+ Breakout Buy
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353000 Breakout Sell only if sustain for target 321000Β
π§ Tradeline Capital View
Trade war + tariffs + political risk + inflation data =
Gold & Silver remain preferred asset classAny downside seen in MCX or COMEX is:
π Opportunity to Buy
π Paper market correction
π Physical demand remains strongπ’ Final Thought:
As an Investor: Stay on Buy side with limited quantity
As a Trader: Follow levels strictly with SL
As a Hedge: Gold & Silver are becoming global insurance
