Fundamentals for the Day
6.00 pm FOMC Member Logan Speaks
8.30 pm Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - Expected Negative or Gold
Prelim UoM Inflation Expectation
Yesterday,
Fed Powell Speech
- A greater share of progress on inflation ahead may have to come from tight monetary policy, not just supply-side improvement
- The bigger mistake remains not getting rates high enough
- The fed-funds rate is around 5.3% and if expected one-year ahead inflation is around 3%, that implies a real rate above 2%
- "well above" mainstream estimates of the neutral rate, and policy is "probably significantly restrictive"
- A greater share of progress on inflation ahead may have to come from tight monetary policy, not just supply-side improvement
- IMPACT:
It seems Hawkish for the Interest rate which cause downside in US indicies ( NQ, S& P500) - This would be Negative For Bullion As well
Yesterday,
Gold made a low of 59760 by successfully downside opening below 59900 but failed to give a close below the same.
As US Traders were awaiting for a Fed Powell speech & only US Traders made a Buy in Gold in time 6.30 pm to 9.30 pm 1949$ to 1970$.
Gold
Range: 60300 - 59735
Our Preference: Sell Gold 60300 for target 59800 with SL 60401+ if sustain
Alternative Scenario: Buy Gold 59735 target 60150 with SL 59600
- Breakout Buy 60401+ for target 60650 with risk of 120 point
Trading Zone
60055 Buy @ 1st stroke for target 120 point
59937 Buy @ 1st stroke for target 120 point
Maintain SL of 70 point
Yesterday,
Silver is still unable to breach its temporary support of 70,150 as well as psychological price of 70,000 & making a jumping pattern as usual from 22.40$ to 23.06$ which is again a 50% of High 23.75$ & post low 22.37$.
Silver
Range: 71784 -69632
Our Preference: Sell Silver 71874 for target 70250 & 69632 with SL 72100
Alternative Scenario: Sell Silver 72584 for target 70150 & 69632 with SL 72800
Trading Zone
70640 Buy @ 1st stroke SL 150 point