By Tradeline Capital | September 18, 2025
🔑 Fundamentals for the Day (IST)
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⏰ 6:00 pm – US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
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⏰ 7:30 pm – EU: German Buba President Nagel Speaks, US CB Leading Index m/m
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⏰ 8:00 pm – US Natural Gas Storage
📰 Latest News & Commentary
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Fed Interest Rate Cut (0.25%)
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The Fed announced a 0.25% rate cut yesterday at 11:30 pm IST.
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Theoretically, rate cuts support Gold upside.
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But Gold had already rallied $380 from Aug 20 – Sept 17 in anticipation of the move.
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Post-announcement, Gold spiked to $3,707, then dropped to $3,648 during Powell’s speech, showing profit-taking.
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Powell’s Speech Impact
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Powell struck a cautious tone, signaling further monitoring of inflation.
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Market interpreted this as less aggressive easing ahead, which capped Gold’s rally short-term.
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Current Market Sentiment
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Spot Gold today touched a low of $3,634 and is trading near $3,668.
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Any dips are seen as buying opportunities rather than fresh selling.
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Silver found a strong bottom near ₹124,500 and looks set to recover.
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🟡 Gold Market Outlook
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Range: ₹108,800 – ₹113,000
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Our Preference:
✅ Buy Gold @ ₹108,800 for targets ₹110,000.
❌ Stop Loss below ₹108,600. -
Trading Zone:
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🔻 Breakout Sell below ₹108,580 → ₹107,021.
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🔺 Sell scalp near ₹110,073 with SL ₹110,200.
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Key Levels:
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Strong Support: ₹108,700
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Deep Buy Zone (if tested): ₹107,000
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Commentary:
Gold’s downside looks very limited. As long as $3,635 (₹108,700) holds, the next upside leg towards $3,800 (₹113,000) remains intact.
⚪ Silver Market Outlook
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Range: ₹125,500 – ₹130,500
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Our Preference:
✅ Buy Silver @ ₹125,500 for targets ₹128,500 & ₹130,500.
🔄 Backup Buy @ ₹124,500, SL only below ₹124,000. -
For Positional Traders:
🛒 Buy & Hold from ₹125,500–124,500 zone → Target ₹130,500. -
Commentary:
Silver has established a bottom at ₹124,500. Any dip near support is an accumulation opportunity for positional upside.
📌 Summary
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Gold: Fed’s rate cut is already priced in, limited downside remains. Buying dips is the strategy as the long-term bull trend continues.
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Silver: Strong base around ₹124,500, turning bullish again. Positional buys recommended.
✍️ By Tradeline Capital
🌐 www.tradelinecapital.in
🚨 DISCLAIMER: 📚 Educational | 💰 Not Advice | ⚡ Trade at Own Risk

