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By Tradeline Capital | September 18, 2025


🔑 Fundamentals for the Day (IST)

  • 6:00 pm – US Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

  • 7:30 pm – EU: German Buba President Nagel Speaks, US CB Leading Index m/m

  • 8:00 pm – US Natural Gas Storage


📰 Latest News & Commentary

  • Fed Interest Rate Cut (0.25%)

    • The Fed announced a 0.25% rate cut yesterday at 11:30 pm IST.

    • Theoretically, rate cuts support Gold upside.

    • But Gold had already rallied $380 from Aug 20 – Sept 17 in anticipation of the move.

    • Post-announcement, Gold spiked to $3,707, then dropped to $3,648 during Powell’s speech, showing profit-taking.

  • Powell’s Speech Impact

    • Powell struck a cautious tone, signaling further monitoring of inflation.

    • Market interpreted this as less aggressive easing ahead, which capped Gold’s rally short-term.

  • Current Market Sentiment

    • Spot Gold today touched a low of $3,634 and is trading near $3,668.

    • Any dips are seen as buying opportunities rather than fresh selling.

    • Silver found a strong bottom near ₹124,500 and looks set to recover.


🟡 Gold Market Outlook

  • Range: ₹108,800 – ₹113,000

  • Our Preference:
    ✅ Buy Gold @ ₹108,800 for targets ₹110,000.
    ❌ Stop Loss below ₹108,600.

  • Trading Zone:

    • 🔻 Breakout Sell below ₹108,580 → ₹107,021.

    • 🔺 Sell scalp near ₹110,073 with SL ₹110,200.

  • Key Levels:

    • Strong Support: ₹108,700

    • Deep Buy Zone (if tested): ₹107,000

  • Commentary:
    Gold’s downside looks very limited. As long as $3,635 (₹108,700) holds, the next upside leg towards $3,800 (₹113,000) remains intact.


⚪ Silver Market Outlook

  • Range: ₹125,500 – ₹130,500

  • Our Preference:
    ✅ Buy Silver @ ₹125,500 for targets ₹128,500 & ₹130,500.
    🔄 Backup Buy @ ₹124,500, SL only below ₹124,000.

  • For Positional Traders:
    🛒 Buy & Hold from ₹125,500–124,500 zone → Target ₹130,500.

  • Commentary:
    Silver has established a bottom at ₹124,500. Any dip near support is an accumulation opportunity for positional upside.


📌 Summary

  • Gold: Fed’s rate cut is already priced in, limited downside remains. Buying dips is the strategy as the long-term bull trend continues.

  • Silver: Strong base around ₹124,500, turning bullish again. Positional buys recommended.


✍️ By Tradeline Capital
🌐 www.tradelinecapital.in

 

🚨 DISCLAIMER: 📚 Educational | 💰 Not Advice | ⚡ Trade at Own Risk

 

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