By Tradeline Capital
π Breaking Macro Update
πΊπΈ Trump on Tariffs
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βI do not have to go back to Congress to get approval of Tariffs.β
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Supreme Court decision reaffirmed executive tariff authority.
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Warning: Any country that βplays gamesβ will face much higher tariffs.
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Tone: Escalation-ready, aggressive trade stance.
π₯ Market Effect:
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Trade war risk premium rising again.
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Inflation expectations firming.
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Structural positive for Gold.
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Volatility expansion phase likely.
π FOMC Speech Day
Today Speakers:
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Cook
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Waller
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Bostic
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Goolsbee
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Collins
π 8:30 PM β CB Consumer Confidence
β Hawkish tone β Temporary Gold pressure
β Dovish tone β Gold breakout potential
π Yesterday Performance Review
π‘ Gold Buy @ 159112
Low: 158117
π― Target 161700 HIT
βͺ Silver Buy Activated 162465
Strong rebound post low
Momentum sustained
China reopened β Silver holding stronger than Gold.
Gold touched 5248$ (Resistance 5242$ mentioned earlier)
Sharp correction to 5143$ within 25 minutes @ 6.30 am SHANGHAI open β Strong volatility confirmed.
π‘ GOLD Outlook
Range: 162400 β 158429
πΉ Immediate Jobbing Buy: 160050 (Square off before US Open)
Target: 161000
SL: 159700 (sustain below)
πΉ Our Preference (Primary Setup):
Sell @ 162440
Target: 159725 & 158429
SL: Above 162800+ (sustain)
πΉ Alternative Scenario:
Buy @ 158429
SL: 158000
Target: 160400
πΉ Trading Zone:
160050 Buy start for the Day
162800+ β Target 165000
π Positional Target: 165000 intact (Zig-Zag structure expected)
βͺ SILVER Outlook
Range: 255000 β 284000
Positional Buy will keep their target intact of 2,84,000 as per Buy position
πΉ Immediate Buy: 262000 ( Square off before US Open)
Target: 269000
SL: 259300
πΉ Our Preference (Primary Setup):
Buy @ 256078+
Target: 269000
Above 272000 β Extended Target 284000
SL: 252000 (sustain below)
πΉ Breakout Levels:
269500 Sell @ 1st stroke
272000+ β Breakout Buy
284000 β Last Sell for the Week
291000+ β Opens Gate to 325000
250000 Below β Breakdown Sell
π§ Strategic Interpretation
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Tariff escalation narrative = Bullion supportive
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10Y Yield near 4.04% = Gold supportive
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China reopening = Silver volume expansion
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Silver expiry build-up β Higher volatility
β‘ This is expansion phase, not calm consolidation.
π Bias
Gold: Range with upside volatility risk
Silver: Structurally stronger than Gold
Discipline required. Lot size control essential.
