📅 18 March 2026
🌍 Global Macro | War | Central Bank | Inflation Watch
⚡ Fundamentals for the Day
⏰ 6:00 PM IST – PPI & Core PPI m/m (Inflation Trigger)
⏰ 7:15 PM IST – BOC Rate Decision (Expected: No Change)
⏰ 7:30 PM IST – Factory Orders m/m
⏰ 8:00 PM IST – BOC Press Conference + Crude Oil Inventories
⏰ 11:30 PM IST – 🔥 FOMC Rate Decision + Economic Projections + Statement
👉 Today = HIGH VOLATILITY DAY (US Session Key)
Markets will react sharply post FOMC → Expect fake moves before real direction
🌍 War & Macro Commentary
Ongoing conflict: Iran vs US & Israel
Current impact: Oil & Gas supply tension rising
Next phase risk: ⚠️ Fertilizer & global supply chain disruption
👉 Critical Trigger:
If Strait of Hormuz closes (even partially) →
Oil spike → Inflation spike → Gold initially ↑
But later liquidity tightening can cause sharp reversals
👉 Market Reality:
No new major escalation yet
Market is already pricing war premium
Next big move ONLY if:
New country enters OR
Hormuz disruption confirmed
🟡 Gold Outlook (MCX + COMEX Sync View)
Trend: Range-bound with downside pressure
Nature: Algo-driven + Liquidity trap zone
📊 Range: 153475 – 158730
🔻 Primary Strategy (Sell on Rise)
👉 Sell @ 157520
🎯 Target: 155300
🎯 Extended: 154890 → 153475
🛑 SL: 157900 (sustain only)
🔄 Alternative Strategy (Reversal Buy)
👉 Buy @ 153475
🎯 Target: 157500
🛑 SL: 152900
⚡ Trading Zones (Intraday Execution)
155863 → 🔻Nearest Sell – SL 180 point
156863 → 🔻 Sell for session
154900 → 🟢 Buy (SL 180 point)
153475 → 🔥 Last Buy Zone
📌 All trades sequential – maintain strict SL (Max 300 points)
📌 Discipline + fixed lot size = consistency
⚪ Silver Outlook
Trend: Weak but volatile (Zigzag Structure)
Behavior: Sharp moves expected during US session
📊 Range: 246000 – 260000
🔺 Primary Strategy (Buy on Dip)
👉 Buy @ 247000
🎯 Target: 258000
🛑 SL: 245000 (sustain below)
🔻 Alternative Strategy (Breakdown Sell) COMEX Spot = $77 below is a good Hit to $73.50
👉 Sell below 244500
🎯 Target: 234500
🛑 SL: 249000+
⚡ Trading Zones
256900 → 🔻 Sell (1st stroke)
263800 → 🔻 Strong Sell Zone
🧠 Smart Money Insight (IMPORTANT)
Before FOMC → Expect fake upside / downside traps
After FOMC → Real direction will be revealed
Gold currently behaving like a magnet zone market
Liquidity hunt likely both sides before trend confirmation
👉 Retail will get trapped today if no discipline
📢 Final Trading Guidance
✔ Trade light before FOMC
✔ Avoid overtrading
✔ Follow levels – not emotions
✔ Big move expected post 11:30 PM IST
📞 Tradeline Capital
📲 +91-7046XXXXXX
🌐 www.tradelinecapital.in
