🌍 Global Geopolitical Update – War & Energy Shock
Tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate after U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran.
Major developments overnight:
▪ Trump orders political risk insurance for global shipping through the Gulf.
▪ U.S. considering naval escorts for oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
▪ The United States Navy may begin military protection for energy shipments.
▪ Trump claims Iran’s air defense and detection systems have been destroyed.
▪ Oil prices have already jumped nearly $10 per barrel amid supply disruption fears.
▪ Trump says the U.S. will ensure free flow of global energy at any cost.
🇺🇸 *IRAN INTEL MINISTRY REACHED OUT INDIRECTLY TO CIA: NYT – BBG
*IRAN OPERATIVES MADE OFFER TO DISCUSS TERMS FOR ENDING WAR: NYT
*NYT CITES OFFICIALS BRIEFED ON THE IRANIAN OUTREACH TO THE CIA
*US OFFICIALS SKEPTICAL ABOUT READINESS FOR IRAN OFFRAMP: NYT
This effectively signals that the Strait of Hormuz has become the central geopolitical flashpoint for global markets.
Nearly 20% of the world’s oil supply passes through this route.
Any disruption immediately affects:
• Oil prices
• Inflation expectations
• Global risk sentiment
• Safe-haven demand
🧠 Market Interpretation
The current situation creates two opposite forces for Gold & Silver.
Bullish Factors
• War escalation between U.S. – Israel vs Iran
• Energy supply risk from Hormuz shipping lanes
• Rising oil prices → inflation fears
• Possible global market volatility
Bearish Factors
• U.S. military control of the Gulf reduces full supply shock risk
• Trump signalling oil prices may spike temporarily but later fall
• Strong U.S. dollar flows during geopolitical crises
👉 Therefore bullion markets are volatile but still trading in structured ranges.
📊 Fundamentals for the Day
⏰ 6:45 pm IST – ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
⏰ 8:15 pm IST – Final Services PMI
⏰ 8:30 pm IST – ISM Services PMI
These U.S. economic indicators will determine short-term dollar direction, which directly affects Gold & Silver.
Gold
Range: 160035 – 166573
Nearest Buy: 162000
Target: 164300
SL: 161400
Our Preference
Buy Gold @ 160035
Target: 164500
SL: 159400
Alternative Scenario
Sell Gold @ 166573
SL 167000+ sustain
Target 162000
Trading Zone
Sell 164300 first stroke
SL 164800
Target 163000
Silver
Range: 265000 – 285799
Our Preference
Buy Silver @ 265000
Target 278000
SL 262000
Alternative Scenario
Sell Silver @ 278000
Target 270000
SL 281000
Backup Sell
Sell 285700
Target 270000
SL 288000
Silver Market Outlook – March
Silver is expected to remain in broad consolidation during March.
Expected Monthly Range:
293000 – 235000
Key Trading Insight:
▪ Major Sell Zone: 285000 – 293000
▪ Breakout above 300000 may push silver toward 335000
Until then, expect range trading and volatility spikes from geopolitical news.
Control your lot size and leverage carefully.
📩 Stay connected for live market updates
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